We don't know what the price will be, we don't know if it will have the same level of legendary games that drove Switch's success. Also the hybrid Switch concept is no longer the shiny new thing that got people so excited when Switch launched so that's gonna hurt sales in comparison to the Switch. Though on the upside there is the backwards compatibility which will help sales.
And of course Nintendo was not remotely aggressive in pushing the Switch (ie system discounts, Nintendo Selects dropping games to $30) so there are plenty of sales tactics Nintendo COULD do next gen if they want to sell more, though since they didn't bother doing that with the Switch it's pretty safe to assume they won't take advantage of those things with Switch 2 either.
I'd say 120m would be a huge success for Switch 2, given that it's no longer the exciting new innovation that Switch was.
100m will still be a solid success.
Anything close to what Switch ends up selling will be an extraordinary success for Nintendo as that would mean two gens of dominance, showing that they can possible maintain an extreme level of success longer term.
Last edited by Slownenberg - on 17 January 2025
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