Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 40 million?

[Esparadrapo]

Kyuu said:

JRPGfan said:

It will likely do like 4 million units in 2025 total (imo).
So sometime in 2027, it should break 40m.

Depending on how soon they plan to replace it, with a newer console.
There is a honest chance it doesn't ever make it to 40m.

You're probably underestimating GTA6's effect. This game may sell every single Xbox and Playstation available for several months. Doubtful Sony will be able to produce enough consoles to meet demand too soon, so it's an opportunity for Microsoft to maximize sales and potentially sell every console they produce too.

If GTA6 is launched before October, both consoles might go up year over year. No one is ready for the demand levels of this game! Especially if the consoles get permanent pricecuts.

Sony has far more units in the channel than Microsoft because PS5 is selling over five times what Series does. That means that whatever demand is generated by GTA VI is going to be gobbled up by Sony and its channel capable of delivering 4 million units in a month worldwide. Microsoft can't even dream of that when it's doing 4 million units in a year.

Besides that, it's abundantly clear that Microsoft doesn't give a damn about selling consoles anymore or they would have put theirs on sale this BF and holidays so I don't think they are going to make any preparations for GTA VI when there's a risk that stock could remain unsold for many quarters.

Last edited by Esparadrapo - on 04 January 2025