JAPAN Consoles Showdown 2024: Dec. 15th

[Shtinamin_]

Looking over the numbers and my predictions I see there were incorrect predictions due to over-positivity and there were even correct predictions.

Switch was not able to sell 1.45M (or 1.51M from my other prediction) consoles by Jun 30th. It sold 1.39M. Not bad though. I overestimated by 0.06M (0.12M, which is a bit poor).

PS5 was not able to sell 936.94k (913k from my other prediction) consoles by Jun 30th. It sold 791.78k. This was a bit poor on PlayStation as I overestimated by 0.15M (0.12M which is better but still poor)

Xbox Series was able to sell over 48.1k (or 59k from my other prediction) consoles by Jun 30th. It sold 60.5k. I underestimated by 0.01M (or 0.001M which is extremely accurate and happy I was close).

Switch will easily surpass NDS’10 by the second week of December. Switch will easily surpass 3M unit sales. Nintendo will most likely average 110k per week in December thus it will reach just below 3.2M (3.19M). 

My original prediction of 3.5M was very high, but I did expect a price drop.

PS5 will be no where near PS4’16. PS5 will most likely average 55k per week in December thus it will reach 1.55M.

My original prediction of 3.3M was outrageous, I expected PS5 Pro and their first party and third party games to boost them and hold them (instead they were only weekly boosts).

@Norion you are correct that their demand was already fulfilled.

Xbox Series will easily surpass XBOX360’11 by the second week of December. Xbox will most likely average around 6k per week in December thus it will reach 132k.

My original prediction of 170k was rather high. I didn’t have much reasoning behind this.