Will the world be more or less peaceful with Trump in power?

[Tober]

SvennoJ said:

Tober said:

A written opinion piece can go either way. I could copy paste a different opinion piece from someone else and present it as truth. It does not change my view or make it myth.

The most brutal conflict that he inherited was ISIS. He stopped that pretty quickly by having the middle east de-fund them. Every US President drops bombs all over the place. I believe no one more than Obama. Yes I believe Trump's first term was more peaceful than Obama before him and Biden after him. Does that make him a peaceful President? No, none of them are. But I did not claim he was.

Isis never stopped
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2019/03/18/trump-isis-terrorists-defeated-foreign-policy-225816/

But I'll give you a slight lull in the death count during his presidency

2016-2020 saw fewer deaths compared to Obama.

However no change in number of armed conflicts

And he did set up the conditions for the current wars in the ME with his policies. The Abraham accords are deeply unpopular among the populations and seen as a ploy to sideline the Palestinian issue.

https://responsiblestatecraft.org/abraham-accords-peace-middle-east/

Almost every assumption that undergirded the Israel-Arab normalization agreements was disastrously wrong, and now we are paying the price.

That's Trump's baby, instead of helping towards a solution on the ME he sharpened the divides and fueled the tension leading to Oct 7.

https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2023/dec/05/donald-trump/trump-claims-he-made-peace-in-the-middle-east-with/

The blood of 1,200+ Israelis, 3,600+ Lebanese and over 44,000 Palestinians is partly on Trump's hands.

https://time.com/6339889/cancel-abraham-accords/

To me, it looks like we are now in a continuation of the Arab Spring. During Trumps first term, there seemed to be a pause of some kind.

In round one, we bombed Libya back into a failed state, had a coup in Egypt, an attempted coup in Turkey and the USA established an army base in Syria (should that not be considered an invasion of a sovereign country?).

Looks like we are in the middle of round two. Geopolitics does not care about freedom or democracy. It cares to protect and expand interests, military and economically. Sadly it appears to me more and more that October 7th was a perfect opportunity for the Hawks to continue. From Gaza, now Lebanon and I expect Syria will be next (Russia is busy now, so won't be sending troops to Syria this time.). With the big prize Iran on the horizon.

How quickly this will unfold will have something to do with who is President, but longer term the objectives are clear and inevitable. They always were.