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BraLoD said:

Usually the GOTY needs to fill at least 1, or more of this points to be elected:

1. Be technically impressive 2. Be artistically impressive 3. Be massive/have content to last long

4. Have a strong narrative/story 5. Have brand/franchise recognition 6. Studio/company have excellent track record

what on earth is this list you've compiled here, BraLoD? Lol.

Point (1.) dismisses the fact that Nintendo has come very close to winning two of the past eight years (2017, 2023), and has been in the discussion for six of the past eight years (2017, 2018, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023).

Points (2.) & (6.) is satisfied by almost every nominee for GotY in any given year.

Point (3.) is a fair point: Usually open world AAA experiences do have a bit of a bias leaning in their favor. That's part of the reason why Astro isn't a lock for winning.

Point (4.) is very subjective, and dismisses the fact that four of the past eight years saw a winner from a game in which story took a backseat compared to gameplay (2017 BotW, 2021 It Takes Two, 2022 Elden Ring, 2023 Baldur's Gate 3).

Point (5.) is arguably wrong. Originality is a positive, not a negative. (2013 TLoU, 2016 Overwatch, 2019 Sekiro, 2021 It Takes Two, 2022 Elden Ring, 2023 Baldur's Gate 3 (first entry in over two decades).)

...This is not to say I disagree with your conclusion that FFVIIRebirth is gonna win, though you're reasoning here with this arbitrary list of broad and subjective factors is a bit off imo.