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Latest numbers: across the seven battleground states, the '20-'24 swing towards Trump was ~3.1 pts. Across the other 43 states (+DC), it was ~6.7 pts.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 7, 2024
Bottom line: the Harris campaign swam impressively against some very strong underlying currents.
More evidence that this election could have been a lot worse if 1. Biden didn't drop out or 2. Kamala didn't run as strong of a campaign as she did (infra-structurally.)
This along with this tweet I shared in another post, strongly hints that the Democrats would have had to run an exceptional once-in-lifetime campaign to win. Just sucks that this happened at the same time Donald Trump was running on the GOP side. If only we didn't have a FPTP system.
For the first time since WWII, every governing party facing election in a developed country this year lost vote share, via @jburnmurdoch
— Derek Thompson (@DKThomp) November 7, 2024
2024 Democrats are the red dot.
Absolutely critical context to any postmortem. pic.twitter.com/N6a6L0Pou8
