Depends on how many units PS2 sold.
If we assume 155mil? NSW will likely be ahead Fall 2025. I expect NSW to be around 152.5mil by end of F’25, knowing that NSW2 won’t be reveal until early 2025 and won’t be released until Summer 2025 at earliest. Should allow for NSW to pull ~3mil combined during Q1&2F25.
If we assume 157-158mil? Holiday 2025. I feel confident in saying NSW sales will remain strong (2-3mil Q3F25) Holiday 2025. NSW2 will expensive and scarce, whereas NSW will be affordable and relevant w/ the latest Pokémon being an exclusive (not coming to NSW2).
If we assume 160mil? Fall 2026. I’d expect maybe 0.75-1.25mil/quarter during first half of calendar year 2026. (Tho this is nearly two years away…hard to say what will even happen to NSW.)
If we assume 163mil? Holiday 2027. Shoot for the moon with 165mil? If it hasn’t happened by Holiday 2027, I don’t think it’ll ever happen.
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