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Hiku said:

All votes haven't been counted yet, but as of right now, this graph checks out for being a few hours old.

2020
81m (D) +74m (R) = 155m votes in total

2024
66m (D) + 72m (R) = 138m votes in total


If the 15m missing Democratic voters went over to vote for Trump, I can at least understand their reasoning.
But as of now around 15 million of the Democratic voters essentially just decided not to vote.
Best to do this comparison after all votes have been counted though. It might allign a bit closer in the end, but man...

I made an excel sheet for this, and I probably made some mistakes. Comparing to 2020, maybe it would be worth comparing to 2016 as well. But I'm not sure I have time for that today. 

A big chunk of these missing votes is in California, where they are only 58% in. That's about 5.5 million of the missing votes.

There are a few states where Kamala outperformed Biden - Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina (basically tied).  Trump just outperformed more.

A bunch of blue strongholds lost a lot of votes. Illinois, Massachusetts, New York. Lost close to a million votes compared to Biden in New York.

Most states on the Trump side look pretty tight to me. 

A big shift in Texas, 500k who voted for Biden didn't vote for Kamala, and Trump saw a similar increase. 

Some of that 15m will go away. But it seems like something like 10m Democrats didn't bother voting.