Russia has genuine weaknesses, but short-term manpower is low on list. Ru faces problem w/ rising fiscal burden of recruitment & pol risk of having to widen recruitment base. Bigger issue is artillery/armour shortages in 2025. But Ukr has acute issues that will manifest sooner. https://t.co/PSnW6ZpxWn
— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) November 2, 2024
Challenge for Ukraine (& allies) is maintaining its defences & hanging on until such a time that Russian problems pile up. If that doesn't happen risk is either deeper & more serious Ru advances or bad deal that leaves Ukr vulnerable to another invasion. https://t.co/fLEeZBzRje
— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) November 2, 2024
The western fear of escalation has reached such high levels, that the US feels the need to separately emphasize that North Korean soldiers fighting the Ukrainians are legitimate military targets.
— Emil Kastehelmi (@emilkastehelmi) November 2, 2024
Saying that out loud is almost comical. What would even be the alternative?… https://t.co/c8Y1GLGuvz
Correct, we have seen this same narrative of desperate Putin hiring North Korean soldiers coming from Britain's UN office and from NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte
— Samuel Ramani (@SamRamani2) November 2, 2024
Russia uses NK troops to augment defensive operations in Kursk at a time when Ukraine has manpower shortages https://t.co/L5fszgK600
Three more awkward questions:
— Sir John Chipman IISS (@chipmanj) November 2, 2024
What is the point of Western countries announcing a ‘pivot to Asia’ or an ‘Indo-Pacific tilt’, if when Asia’s super-rogue state — North Korea — comes knocking on Europe’s door with soldiers armed by the enemy to kill Europeans, the door is left… https://t.co/dlzTyep3bx
