In 2016 & 2020, Selzer’s final poll looked like an outlier in opposite direction; days after, we learned it was actually not off, & had foreshadowed polling error in Rust Belt.
— Taniel (@Taniel) November 2, 2024
This, again, is just one poll; we’ll see soon enough whether it captured something no one else did.
Final Selzer poll findings (and the actual result)
— Matthew Klein (@MattKleinOnline) November 2, 2024
2022 Senate: R+12 (R+12)
2020 President: R+7 (R+8)
2020 Senate: R+4 (R+7)
2018 Governor: D+2 (R+3)
2016 President: R+7 (R+9)
2014 Senate: R+7 (R+8)
2012 President: D+5 (D+6)
About as good as any pollster gets. https://t.co/OfFO6ePDLy
The. Vibes.
Her poll is a 3.4% MOE...Even with that MOE it's a horrifically bad poll for Trump.
I'm just saying to myself "Don't get overconfident" repeatedly