Currently Online 
This is my prediction. Yes, I am predicting a clean sweep of the battleground states. I was going to explain clearly my reasoning, but it was taking too long. To put it succinctly, I think the polls are underestimating Harris. Moreover, I just don't buy that Harris is going to do worse than Biden. It is possible that Nevada and Arizona might flip as the border is more of an issue there, but I really don't think that's enough. In Arizona abortion is on the ballot.
The early vote seems encouraging for many reasons. It seems that there are more new voters for democrats, overall higher participation, and a higher female vote. Good for Dems.
Looking past the data to the race, there are two reasons Trump *might* do better this time around. Immigration, and inflation. Inflation has been decreasing, but shit's still expensive. Border crossings have fallen too, although facts don't always matter so these factors still weigh in favor of Trump.
There is always the fact that Kamala Harris is a woman. Should that matter? No. Will it? Who knows.
Meanwhile, on the other side, January 6th was a thing that happened. Election deniers have not fared well in elections. Abortion is another big issue. Trump is not running against another old man, but someone who is younger and Trump is frankly not looking too good these days.
All of those things factored in, I just see Harris performing better than Biden did. The polls don't show it, but I think there's a lot of reason to expect the polls are underestimating Democrats this year.
So, yup. Calling the sweep.
