2024 US Presidential Election

[Ryuu96]

UPDATE: Trump's lead on Kalshi is now just 6%, down from 30% only 3 days ago.

Wow. pic.twitter.com/9QlDX6JNYz

— Kalshi (@Kalshi) November 1, 2024

PredictIt now has Trump with just a 1 point lead in their betting markets.

He had a 19 point lead 5 days ago.

I don’t know what is causing this rapid shift by my guess is: actual experts (so not engagement farmers on Twitter) are looking at the early voting data and concluding… pic.twitter.com/WRpEhAWq2v

— Peter Henlein (@SwissWatchGuy) November 1, 2024

Lmao. Just like that, his lead in two betting markets has evaporated. Not that I put much stock into betting markets but it's funny how two of them have suddenly collapsed in an instant.

There's always Polymarket though and the $30m Frenchman.

Last edited by Ryuu96 - 3 days ago