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JWeinCom 3 days ago
| Ryuu96 said: Oh look, PredictIt (one of those famous betting markets) is about to flip back to Harris 🫠Not that I care, but how quickly they change, Lol. |
What is interesting is that you can make essentially the same bet in several different ways. Betting Yes or No for Kamala Harris being the next president pays out even money either way.
However, when the question is asked whether she or Trump will win, Trump is favored to the tune of 4cents.
Betting for republicans to win the electoral college yields a 6 point advantage for Trump.
If people were betting rationally upon good information, that discrepancy is hard, at least for me, to explain.
