| Ryuu96 said: I think pollsters are underestimating women for sure but I also don't really understand why some of them are showing seismic shifts in voting for black voters, I see absolutely nothing to suggest that Trump is going to all of a sudden get a massive wave of black supporters and they're all of a sudden going to abandon Democrats. They would suggest a massive change in voting habits in just one election season. |
Yeah, in order for me to believe this massive shift in black voters, there would need to be a specific, major event causing it.
The shift in women makes sense because the Dobbs decision and restrictive abortion laws in red states (some even going after IVF), along with Vance’s statements about childless cat ladies and Trump’s court cases with E Jean Carroll & Stormy Daniels. Just a series of events over the last few years showing that the Republican Party treats women as lesser.
As for black voters, it’s not like Republicans have done any major outreach towards them or that Democrats have pushed any anti-black legislation or rhetoric. I know there has been a general shift rightward among young men regardless of race, but that shouldn’t be causing this big of a shift. Basically this would be the biggest shift in black voter habits since the Civil Rights Era and that just doesn’t make any sense because there is no specific cause.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
