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I'm gonna point out one dimension that hasn't been discussed here.
The head of the RNC is Lara Trump, and Trump has outsourced a great deal of his get out the vote team to Elon Musk. It reportedly has not been going well. There seems to be less physical presence for Trump. I've heard plenty of times that people are seeing less Trump yard signs than in 2020. That's likely because those are given out by canvasers in many cases.
It could be we're all wrong and Musk is actually a genius rather than just playing one on Twitter. Perhaps in the new age of social media, face to face canvasing is a relic. I'm skeptical. In most of the battleground states, Democrats are ahead right now. It's assumed there will be a much heavier republican turnout on election day, but we may find that Trump has not been effective at getting his voters out.
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