Currently Online 
Look at this shit!
If Trump wins, the signs were there all along.
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 30, 2024
No incumbent party has won another term with so few voters saying the country is on the right track (28%) or when the president's net approval rating is so low (Biden's at -15 pts).
Also, big GOP registration gains in key states. pic.twitter.com/knDQ2HOFtJ
Part II: If Harris wins, the signs were clear as day.
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 31, 2024
1. She has a higher net favorable rating than Trump, & the more popular candidate almost always wins.
2/3. Post-Roe: When voters vote, Democrats win. See special elections & 2022 midterms, when Dems did historically well. pic.twitter.com/wbrsVdMuep
I'm almost done with these professionals, pollsters included, they're all herding (as Nate said), everyone is terrified of being wrong again so they're practically all saying the same shit "it's a toss-up/draw" with a 4-5% MoE (useless!) to cover our asses and nobody has the confidence to put their necks on the line this time around, they underestimated Trump in 16/20, they underestimated Democrats in 22, now they're all just say "fuck it, Harris may win, Trump may win" Lmao.
Boring. I'm just waiting until election day and seeing where things fall.
Last edited by Ryuu96 - 5 days ago
