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JWeinCom said:
shavenferret said:

The things you mention are out there but plz realize that immigrants and lgbtq issues are normally opposed by Republicans and I don't see what makes them any more of an issue for Republicans now than 4, 8, or 20 years ago. 

Sorry, I legitimately do not understand what you are trying to say. 

Sorry it has taken me a bit of time to collect my thoughts and present them.  We can go back and forth all day with these fuzzy concepts and so i'd like to present some hard data that has been collected and reported by the media.  I think that this would be a better way for me to approach this issue.  

I don't think that the republicans are presented with an immediate and time sensitive crisis in the same way that the democrats are and that this will cause some degree of laxity in them.  I think that if the turnout is high on election day, then democrats will win the day because they will be more motivated than republicans because of the crisis that one party has. 

Turnout may be low depending on the weather or other things going on.  But we will have to see.  

I'll look up some articles on how turnout is going so far......

1.  Texas is an early voting state, and i know that it will ultimately side with the republicans, but if it has a high turnout, there will be a greater chance for a high turnout elsewhere. And guess what, they seem to be doing quite well, with dems doing well (for texas, lol).  

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/4947150-texas-early-voting-turnout-record/

2.  South Carolina.  I've got one article on a record turnout so far.  

https://scvotes.gov/south-carolinians-break-record-on-opening-day-of-early-voting-period/

3.  Indiana..... same thing.  

https://indianacapitalchronicle.com/briefs/indiana-early-voting-already-eclipsed-500000-elections-chief-says/

4.  Missouri -  Article mentions a "crazy turnout"  

https://www.komu.com/news/midmissourinews/mid-missourians-begin-early-voting-counties-seeing-crazy-turnout/article_0547ecf0-90a4-11ef-8d4e-3703f9d07e65.html

4.  Kentucky-  The article mentions that absentee ballots have been very high, which indicates that voters who cast on location at polling places will also be high.  

https://www.kentucky.com/news/politics-government/election/voter-guide/article294412084.html

5.  Conneticut. -  Same thing here.  They have a historic turnout.

https://www.wtnh.com/news/connecticut/historic-number-of-residents-take-advantage-of-early-voting-in-connecticut/

The bottom line is that even if you people dismiss my argument that enthusiasm will be higher with democrats, i can easily bring out supporting evidence that supports what I say.  I have looked up articles and such to support my thesis.  And i present the gallup poll which does indeed show democrats as having a higher level of voter enthusiasm than Republicans.  here you all ( the-pi-guy, SanAndreasX, and JWeinCom) go:           

https://news.gallup.com/poll/649397/democrats-drive-surge-election-enthusiasm.aspx

Lastly, I will ask the three of you if you realize that a higher voter turnout favors the democrats.  This is a known thing.   So, even if my reasoning was bad on the crisis and urgency thing, you can see a much simpler form of that with the enthusiasm and turnout stuff.  So i'm still solid with this.

Last edited by shavenferret - 5 days ago