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Jaicee said:

Alright, I voted for Kamala Harris and Colin Allred yesterday in what was the easiest vote of my life, so if the alternatives win, it won't be my fault. If current early voting trends hold though, Trump will win, and I don't just mean Texas, so if you're an American then please get your ass in gear and go vote if you haven't already! (Except if you're a MAGA Republican. Then you can stay home.)

Isn't this voting by party registration? Which would assume that all registered Republicans are voting Trump but I find unlikely considering there was a lot of Never-Trumper Haley voters and other Republicans (even here) declaring they're voting for Harris. It also doesn't tell us which way independents are voting. Plus we don't have that data for Georgia, Michigan or Wisconsin.

Overall pre-election voting levels are down across the board but that isn't a surprise considering the last election was during COVID-19 and that was the main reason pre-election voting was so high that election. I think this year will have a stronger turnout just before or on election day and it will come down to who is more energised to vote, the Trump cult or Democrats wanting to see the end of Trump.

Democrats are ahead in North Carolina, Nevada and Pennsylvania in early voting according to CNN. But also, Republicans this year have been encouraging their voters to vote early too, so that may play a part in Republicans having a higher than usual early voting turnout. FWIW, I've disregarded Arizona long ago, I don't think Harris has a chance of taking it, I think the immigrant scaremongering nonsense has unfortunately made Arizona a lost cause, on the flip side, I'm feeling quietly confident about Michigan and to a lesser extent, Pennsylvania.

I definitely won't be blaming women if Trump wins, I'm fairly sure that women are going to break massively for Harris.

Last edited by Ryuu96 - 5 days ago