For the love of God...
The election is a toss-up, it has been a toss-up for weeks, the polling averages have barely changed.
PredictIt at one point had Harris and Trump at the same odds of winning. Polymarket is a fucking joke, it's a crypto platform owned by Peter Thiel which Americans can't even bet on, Trump's odds are being gamed by a few wealthy betters and Musk loves tweeting about it. It's rich idiots that are going to lose their money.
A Mystery $30 Million Wave of Pro-Trump Bets Has Moved a Popular Prediction Market - WSJ
A block chain analysis firm has found this huge move seems to have been largely driven by just 4 large accounts, and that those 4 accounts appear to be controlled by one entity. They have $30 million now bet on results such as Trump winning the election, Trump winning the popular vote and Trump winning Pennsylvania.
Analysts suspect this could be an influence campaign, not genuine betting. One says $30 million is nothing to some of the parties who are motivated to try and affect the election. They liken this to the "Romney Whale" who placed similar one-sided bets for Romney over Obama in 2012.
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Some of these betting firms are VERY CLEARLY being gamed by rich idiots.