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RolStoppable said:
azrm2k said:
greenmedic88 said:
The 60 million units for the Wii by end of 2008 John Lucas prediction sticks out most in my mind as the most absurd prediction.

It will most likely go on to be the least accurate prediction for the Wii on this site, even less than the equally absurd 30 million units sold considering the final tally will be under 45 million (closer to 43m), with a 2.4m/month production rate.

Predictions explaining inflated numbers by claiming production will be increased to 3m/month in 2008 also get a booby prize.

 

JL's prediction was absurd I agree as I already mentioned it, but it will definitely not go on to be the least accurate prediction, not even close.

Part of the problem with JL predictions (other than the fact that many of them like the MGS4 not coming to PS3 have been horrendously wrong) is that he likes to go over the top and announces his predictions to the masses which sets himself up to be remembered when he is horribly wrong. For every JL prediction there are several other much worse predictions that are just placed in sigs without fanfare or posted in some random thread and forgotten so nobody gets called out on them.

Heck JL's prediction won't be the most inaccurate optimistic Wii prediction as AT's Wii will outsell the PS family still holds that crown. And honorable mention goes to Sqrl's "SMG outselling SMB" which for some time he boasted of in his sig as the most outlandish prediction.

John Lucas predicted 500m Wiis will be sold, that's a higher number than AT's.

 

Avinashi Tyaki (Tyagi?) predicted 750 million at one point.

Of course JL expected 500 million, so maybe he had a ceiling even higher (he thought 250 million was the minimum and 500 was where he thought it would end)