2024 US Presidential Election

[Ryuu96]

Chrkeller said:

Ryuu96 said:

It's still a toss-up though with Harris in the slight lead, no need to doom just yet, it was always going to be close.

I don't think polls are going to change at this point, Trump's ceiling seems to be 46%, I can't predict an event which would have a major affect on polling day to day, Trump's assassination attempts did nothing for him, the economy is improving, as long as Israel doesn't start a war with Iran and drive up oil prices, I think the polling is set in stone and we'll see what happens on election day.

Personally I think it's going to come down to enthusiasm turnout. There's some promising signs that enthusiasm remains high for Democrats though. I still think women are going to come out in force and with Harris eroding Trump's lead on issues that Republicans tend to lead on it could hurt some traditional Republican support. Could still go either way though. I'm not being complacent. There's a lot of bigoted people.

A toss-up with a tyrant who literally tried to take over the government...  I think it is a perfect time to panic.  

Or, Harris wins, cause it's a toss-up, and she is currently in the lead by toss-up margins.

But also this is EC...If it was PV then I think Harris would win comfortably but it is EC and it comes down to a few states and tens of thousands margins. It is what it is. If Harris wins then they can seethe and I won't care but I do acknowledge that's an uncomfortable amount of bigots and selfish people in the world.

Side question, if Harris did win the popular vote by comfortable margins then would you still argue that she didn't appeal to the average American?