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Zippy6 said:

Valhalla was a huge success commercially. Made over $1 Billion in just over a year, 20m players in it's first 2 years. Probably sold around 15m in 2 years. While I don't think Shadows will hit that mark and I expect it will "fail to meet expectations" for Ubisoft it's still going to sell well. I'd be surprised if it doesn't hit 10m lifetime.

My answer to the question in the title compared to the poll is different. Yes Ubisoft is in danger.

Supposedly pre-orders were around 7% of what Valhalla had when it was releasing.
And this was one of the reasons why it was pushed back. They wanted more time to polish it up, before a new showing with trailers ect.
They wanted another success like Valhalla was (probably the most successfull AC game they have made to date).