Switch - 180M
I know this sounds crazy, but I have two reasons for it. First Foxconn announced a new factory in Vietnam to build 4M Switches a year. Second, I believe Switch2 will be $449 at least. Therefore I think Switch1 will remain the entry level console for approx 5-6 years after the Switch2 launch. Think Famicom vs. Super Famicom.
Xbox - 35M
This is based on that the successor is rumored to launch in 2026. I think MS is going to drop the current Xbox fast, like they did with Xbox1.
PS5 - 100M
This is based on PS6 launching in 2028. With no price cuts on the Horizon I see about 40M to be the max for PS5 in the remaining years. Those missing price cuts also makes me think that PS5 will be discontinued pretty fast after PS6 launch.
Edit: Source of new Vietnam factory for Switch: https://vir.com.vn/nintendo-switch-to-be-produced-by-foxconn-in-vietnam-113032.html
Last edited by Tober - on 24 September 2024
