2024 US Presidential Election

[zorg1000]

RolStoppable said:

zorg1000 said:

We are roughly two months away from Election Day, any predictions? I’m going with:

Harris-52%
Trump-46%

Harris wins all the states Biden did and picks up North Carolina. It’s not an Obama 2008 blowout but it’s bigger than 2012/2020.

I'd add Florida and Texas on top of it, because Trump is now so uncool.

Trump won Texas by ~5.5% & Florida by ~3.5% in 2020. I don’t think Harris wins either but Texas continues trending blue and Florida is more similar to 2016 than 2020 so Trump wins Texas by ~3% and Florida by ~2%.

Hopefully that’s close enough that we can eek out a win in one or both of their senate races.