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As far as games I think have a high chance to be nominated would be

Astro Bot
FF7 Rebirth
Metaphor: ReFantazio
Helldivers 2
Like A Dragon: Infinite Wealth

There are several titles that I think could be wild cards

Dragon Age: The Veilguard
Silent Hill 2

I think they're highly unlikely, but each games most recent trailers have shown a lot of promise. I would say S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2 could have a chance, but, the release date is past TGA's cutoff date how you gonna have an awards ceremony for a specific year and not take into consideration every single game that released that year?!

Unicorn Overlord and Kunitsu-Gami: Path of the Goddess have been my favorite games of the year so far though. But I hope Astro Bot wins if it turns out to be as good as we're all hoping it is.