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EpicRandy said:

I think Indiana Jones is a pretty safe timed exclusive as MS themselves confirmed it earlier this year and so far (I think they said they had no plan to date for a PS5 release).

Helblade 2 yes but I don't see it for a 2024 release, I think early 2025 is a better bet if only to make it again a contender in 2025 awards.

Also, recently MS dropped the day 1 release for lower game pass tiers, I think this hints that MS wants day 1 to be reserved for their premium ( consumer with a better profit margin), and on console, it's Xbox, on subscription it's GampePass Ult, on PC they it would be Windows Store but as it is utterly irrelevant it's Steam. 

My guess is, except for select titles(Minecraft, CoD...), Xbox will still feature Day 1 exclusive for quite some time, but the exclusive window will gradually shrink, something like 1+ year to 6 months, to 3 months to 1 month, event to 1+ weeks only to give a premium feel to their premium user (again  consumer with better profit margin)

Yah true; they already announced that it would be exclusive (Indiana), coming back on that now would not be very smart (or well received).

You got a good point, the margin is def. better on their own platform, which may lead to delay (instead of day 1); but I cannot believe they will not want to get a big chunk of that market (Sony). What is the cut, 30% for Sony? I mean, that is also something they are considering I guess. I they can first try to sell it as much as they can on their platform (Windows Store/Xbox) and then go for the other platforms, it would still be good for them.

We will see tomorrow if the rumor is true. I think that no matter what, announcing it like that on the opening night (one of their AAA coming to Play Station) is not the best (for Xbox gamers, at least, the perception is bad), so I expect any announcement to come later. I expect Microsoft to come out with 1 or 2 big games on Play Station before the end of year. 

That mobile thing is also a big question mark, to be honest. The dream machine (Xbox compatible with Series S performance + Windows/Steam compatibility + Docking station à la Switch) would be so appealing (to someone like me at least). So I am very curious about what they are working on, and maybe this we will get a glimpse this week too, who knows.