2024 US Presidential Election

[haxxiy]

Jumpin said:

Yeah, I was looking at the aggregate, it has swung several points in Kamala Harris's favour:

Foolish MAGA concern trolls: "B-B-B-But... Kamala Harris isn't who the Democratic voters want! It's NOT WHO THEY VOTED FOR!!! "

I wouldn't pay much mind to polls since we all know how they fared the last time around, especially at the statewide level. To some extent, it was likely incumbent advantage, the same as Obama overperforming in 2012, but still.

I'm just taking whatever Trafalgar Group puts out and adding ~ 3 points to the Democratic candidate. That seems to work the best, on average, for the past 4 election cycles.