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With an extra year before the successor, ps6 in 2028, yeah it will do it. It was only 0.7m behind in shipments in March 2024 and is only forecast to be 1.7m behind by March 2025. With no successor till 2028 PS5 should sell over 120m.

Something like this:

PS5 PS4
FY Sales LTD FY Sales LTD
FY4 (March 2017/2024) 20.8m 59.3m 20m 60m
FY5 (March 2018/2025) 18m 77.3m 19m 79m
FY6 (March 2019/2026) 16.3m 93.3m 17.8m 96.8m
FY7 (March 2020/2027) 12.5m 105.8m 13.6m 110.4m
FY8 (March 2021/2028) 10m 114.8m 5.8m 116.2m
FY9 (March 2022/2029) 4.5m 119.3m 1m 117.2m

Selling notably worse than the PS4 launch aligned for the next 3 fiscal years and then regaining all that lost ground because the PS5 comes out and hurts the PS4 sales while the PS5 continues on for another year. PS5 would really need to plummet to not beat the PS4 with a 2028 PS6 which is the data all previous rumours have said.

Last edited by Zippy6 - on 05 August 2024