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Pinkie_pie on 02 August 2024
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Hiku said:
Pinkie_pie said:

Combined sales of PS3/360 is 170m. GTA 5 did 50m on PS3/360 with attach rate of 30%. Current PS5/series combined sales is around 90m . There's more hype for GTA 6 than GTA 5 because the thing is much bigger now and it's been over a decade since GTA 5. I'm predicting GTA 6 will also sell 50m on PS5 and xbox series.  Surely it can't sell 50m on just 90m consoles so I don't think all GTA fans already bought a PS5 or Xbox series.  Remember Xbox360 sold another 5m after GTA 5 came out and that's when they already had GTA 4. Also Xbox one came out only 2 months after GTA5 

Right but Xbox 360 was a massively popular console to the point where it was in the lead over PS3 for a while, and ended up sharing the market share with PS3 50/50 in the end.

How do you account for the difference in market share now when you estimate how many Xbox consoles specifically will be sold due to this game?

It's currently at 2:1 for PS5, and the way things are going it looks like that is expanding every month.
PC has also grown a lot since those days.

FYI, this isn't a prediction for whether Xbox Series will reach 40m from me.
I have no prediction for that, but some people wanted to discuss what you said in the Famitsu thread elsewhere, so we moved that discussion here.

You think GTA fans already bought a PS5 or xbox series so I just pointing out that seems very unlikely if we think about the attach rate or that 360 still sold 5m after GTA 5 released and that's when 360 was near the end of its lifespan. You would think every GTA fans already owned a 360 or PS3 before GTA 5 released since GTA 4 was there but no GTA 5 still gave PS3 and 360 a huge boost especially PS3. GTA fans aren't gonna buy a PS5 or xbox series just for GTA 5 remastered. But I seriously don't know where we going with this. Sure 360 was way more popular but I didn't say xbox series is gonna sell anywhere close to 360. Like just 40m. Even if GTA 6 only sell 40m this gen (which is just too low) xbox series would still sell at least 40m. 12m on xbox series and 28m for PS5. 30% attach rate for both would mean PS5 would only sell around 110m. I'm confident PS5 will easily reach 110m