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Shtinamin_ said:

I have a set of predictions* for the 2024 US Presidential Election.

How does NJ go directly from Solid Democrat (+15) in 2020 to Republican?

CA and HI go from +30 to tilt and lean Democrat?  Thats not a thing lol.  They could both loose  half of their democratic support and still be Solid Democrat.

WA and OR go from +26 and +20 Democrat to lean Democrat?

NY was +23 Democrat in 2020.  Its not gonna turn into lean Democrat.

Georgia isn't going to go from Tossup in 2020 (Biden+<1) to Solid Republican (Trump +15)

I understand that this is your prediction or rather your desires, but I feel like the reasons you gave are either untrue, misunderstood and a little deceptive. No one like JD Vance... Trump was already defeated in 2020.  A third of Democrats are not going to switch to the GOP just cause.  That what this result would require.