Shtinamin_ said: I have a set of predictions* for the 2024 US Presidential Election. |
How does NJ go directly from Solid Democrat (+15) in 2020 to Republican?
CA and HI go from +30 to tilt and lean Democrat? Thats not a thing lol. They could both loose half of their democratic support and still be Solid Democrat.
WA and OR go from +26 and +20 Democrat to lean Democrat?
NY was +23 Democrat in 2020. Its not gonna turn into lean Democrat.
Georgia isn't going to go from Tossup in 2020 (Biden+<1) to Solid Republican (Trump +15)
I understand that this is your prediction or rather your desires, but I feel like the reasons you gave are either untrue, misunderstood and a little deceptive. No one like JD Vance... Trump was already defeated in 2020. A third of Democrats are not going to switch to the GOP just cause. That what this result would require.