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badskywalker on 22 July 2024
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RolStoppable said:
Chrkeller said:

I'm think there are a few key states.  Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, North Carolina, Virginia and Pennsylvania.  

I suspect Ohio and Florida are not on the table to flip.

Then say rust belt.

Key states are unsurprisingly those that have a recent history of being up for grabs, because the majority of states are pretty much locked down for one of the two parties.

If the democrats can take the rust belt (minus Ohio) plus Georgia and Arizona... wouldn't that be sufficient already?

If the Democratic Nominee wins Nebraska's 2nd district (fairly likely) then only the 3 rust belt states really matter. If all three go democratic while Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia go Red its a 270-268 victory for the democratic nominee

(Which based on polling is the most likely path for victory for a democratic nominee at this time)

Last edited by badskywalker - on 22 July 2024