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Mr Puggsly said:

Yes.

50 million as well unless something is done by MS that prevents it.

From InstallBase :
+

"Dear lord...any idea how much Europe (non-UK) typically accounts for Xbox sales? I've seen the estimates of Series at ~ 14 million in the US; out of what's at best a 26-27 million install base for now, that's over 50% for the US. UK is probably like 10%? That leaves ~ 35% between rest of Europe, Asia, and ROTW. 


Anyway this is just a long way of saying that if the market percentages are near accurate regarding the region weights, it's very possible Xbox Series X & S haven't even sold much beyond 600K consoles...worldwide...in the first six months of this year. These are deathbed numbers for a console. Those are worst than Dreamcast and Gamecube in their worst periods, it's closer to some 3DO or 32X type of numbers. Series X & S could get outsold by the Steam Deck this year o.0"


He/she has a point.....  Series S/X might have only sold like 600k world wide, in the first half of this year.
If your rate of sales are this low.... doing another 12-13 million units, takes longer, that it will likely have.

Theres a good chance it doesn't hit 40m at its current rate.