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jason1637 said:

Dont see this coming to pass. They should start killing the hostages so the families and isrealis would put pressure for a deal to be made.

Israel is already doing that for them...

The biggest pressure on the government in Isreal now is from demonstrations to get a hostage deal going. Hamas already wants a deal, so the pressure has to be on the Netanyahu government. Which the hostage families know.

Hamas regularly releases videos of hostages to stoke up these protests, as well as claiming hostages have died from Israeli bombardments. (And over 40 have been confirmed to have died already) As well as 3 claimed to have been killed during the Nuseirat massacre that freed 4 others.

After the rescue massacre Hamas has said they would be treating the remaining hostages the same as Israel treats Palestinian prisoners (hostages) in their prisons. Torture and starvation. Hamas has claimed hostages wanted to commit suicide after the change in treatment.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/islamic-jihad-armed-wing-says-will-treat-israeli-hostages-same-way-israel-treats-2024-07-03/


So they are already putting maximum pressure on the hostage families to put pressure on Netanyahu to accept a deal. Killing them won't do anything more, the opposite rather. Israel's Hannibal directive is exactly that, kill any hostages to avoid having to negotiate.

https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2024-07-07/ty-article-magazine/.premium/idf-ordered-hannibal-directive-on-october-7-to-prevent-hamas-taking-soldiers-captive/00000190-89a2-d776-a3b1-fdbe45520000

No it's in Hamas' best interest to keep the hostages alive.


Pressure from the hostage families is there, some articles from Januari to May

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/22/families-israeli-hostages-storm-knesset-meeting-netanyahu-rejects-hamas-offer-fighting-gaza
https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/09/middleeast/israel-rejects-deal-hostage-families-anger-intl-cmd/index.html
https://www.barrons.com/news/israel-hostage-families-demand-deal-after-hamas-approves-gaza-truce-proposal-a9d2d730
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/families-hostages-call-israel-hamas-accept-cease-fire-proposal-pushed-biden/
https://www.timesofisrael.com/hostage-families-urge-us-other-countries-to-press-israel-to-reach-deal-with-hamas/
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-68754109

Main stream media kinda stopped reporting on the protests after May but they are still ongoing.

July 6 https://www.timesofisrael.com/anti-government-protesters-to-set-off-week-of-resistance-with-saturday-rallies/




However the protests are not enough as long as the USA keeps backing Netanyahu with billions of dollars and political cover:

US ‘pressuring UK to block ICC’s Netanyahu arrest warrant’

https://www.theguardian.com/law/article/2024/jul/10/america-is-pressuring-uk-to-block-iccs-netanyahu-arrest-warrant

Human rights barrister says US expects Labour government to continue UK challenge to proposed action against Israeli PM

The US has been accused of putting pressure on the new Labour government not to drop a legal challenge mounted by Rishi Sunak’s administration over the international criminal court’s right to seek an arrest warrant against Benjamin Netanyahu for war crimes.

In May, under the previous Conservative government, the Foreign Office challenged whether the ICC had any jurisdiction over Israeli actions in Gaza. In 2021, the ICC ruled that it did have jurisdiction over Israeli activity in Palestine.


With the USA being distracted with Trump vs Biden it's looking quite grim for Gaza. The coverage of the student protests has died down, the US media is only interested in Biden's age atm and any ceasefire protests have fallen to the background.

Mass protests in the USA would be needed, yet the Biden administration has been clever enough to conceal any 'boots on the ground' involvement of the US military, while painting pro Palestine protests as anti-semitic.

The rest of the world doesn't want to take on the USA, reluctant already to berate Israel let alone impose sanctions. 



Maybe the Olympics will put more pressure on a ceasefire deal again. Starting July 26 in France I expect a lot of demonstrations. (With Russia being barred from participating under the Russian flag, but not Israel)

The participation of Israel prompted calls from twenty-six French lawmakers, Palestinian, and other global sports organizations for sanctions against Israel and to prevent its participation due to the impact of the Israel–Hamas war on Palestinian athletes and sports facilities, but IOC President Thomas Bach confirmed Israel faces no threat to its Olympic status ahead of the Games.

France has a large Muslim community and is not pulling punches when it comes to Israel.

It's too bad UK and Germany are staunch supporters of Israel blocking the EU from imposing sanctions on Israel. Well it's not just those 3
https://themedialine.org/by-region/europe/despite-spain-ireland-and-norway-most-of-europe-still-supports-israel-at-record-levels/

Europe started this whole mess in the first place.

The global south doesn't have the influence to accomplish much. Turkey's snactions on Israel have been the most effective so far
https://www.dw.com/en/israel-sanctions-who-has-imposed-curbs-over-gaza-war/a-68792324

while the BDS movement has hurt Western chains in ME
https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2024/05/starbucks-mcdonalds-kfc-continue-feel-effects-gaza-war-boycotts

Yet with NA and Europe continuing to ignore the atrocities apart from the repeated condemnations (as effective as "thoughts and prayers") it's looking like Netanyahu will get to drag this on until Trump gets back in power and gives Israel the go ahead to finish Gaza off...

https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20240628-trump-let-israel-finish-the-job-in-gaza/