G2ThaUNiT said:
Dude, how many times does he have to explain that the numbers are always estimates (obviously the initial numbers are going to be wrong) and are then adjusted as additional information comes in? And this is how it's been handled for years now. This is becoming painful to watch lol |
Yeah this. Our initial worldwide estimates tend to be within 10% of the actual sales.
As far as using Circana (NPD) our methodology page has mentioned for years about using them as a way to make our estimates more accurate.
"On the hardware front we continue to produce weekly estimates, based on retail sampling and trends in individual countries, which are then extrapolated to represent the wider region. This typically allows us to produce figures that end up being within 10% of the actual totals.
"This data is regularly compared against official shipment figures released by the console manufacturers and figures estimated by regional trackers with greater market coverage than ourselves (such as Famitsu in Japan or NPD in North America). We then update our own estimates to bring them into line with those figures. This can result in frequent changes often within a short space of time, but we feel it's important to prioritise accuracy over consistency."
https://www.vgchartz.com/methodology.php
VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube. Follow me on Twitter, Bluesky, and Threads.
I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.
Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown | Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.