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Shtinamin_ on 30 April 2024
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SvennoJ said:

If the current 30% yoy downward trend continues

5 million this year -> 33 million
3.5 million 2025 -> 36.5 million
2.5 million 2026 -> 39 million
1.7 million 2027 -> 40.7 million

It will scrape by 40 million either in 2026 or 2027. It will definitely fall short of XBox One sales.

GTA 6 could speed it up a bit as day 1 gamepass edition but that will cost MS a lot to get R* to agree to that. MS won't do it to boost console sales, but Gamepass needs help as well. The recent silence on gamepass numbers is deafening.

I agree with this, but I do think GTA 6 will boost Xbox Series sales. Holiday 2025 will at least sell 2x the amount of units we have seen in 2023.

Xbox Series will not surpass Xbox One, but hopefully they can stay alive in the console world. But it looks like they are starting to take a Sega related route of software.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.