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It won't.

People underestimate how much the sales have fallen and don't realize that -30% YoY two years in a row means selling half as much as two years before. If you take into account the shifting towards the Series X it means it's moving even fewer units and because of that, among other reasons, I think it's overtracked everywhere (IMHO).

I also don't think that it makes much sense that Microsoft is posting constant drops in hardware revenues and the folks making estimations don't reflect them in their figures even taking into account discounts in busy seasons.