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kilik said:

I'm thinking 15% down in Japan YoY and 25% down in the rest of world.

I think 15% maybe too low given how there isn't a big game that we know of for the holiday while most other years we do have one. 

I'm not saying there won't be one, but for now we don't have a tangible idea as to how strong a holiday lineup we'll get so we should air on the side of caution