2/ Chasiv Yar's geography makes it a good defensive position, particularly compared to Bakhmut, blocking Russian progression toward key cities in the Donbas. This is evident on the elevation map, with warmer colors marking higher altitudes and colder colors indicating lower ones pic.twitter.com/2DlE5RbuvV
— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) April 8, 2024
4/ If Ukrainian troops retreat from the eastern side, the bridges will probably be destroyed. Though the canal is not deep, it can impede vehicles, shifting the battle to infantry-centric. Orange-marked areas lack water channels but are divided by pipes, as seen in the photo pic.twitter.com/rmyCp0GCLv
— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) April 8, 2024
6/ The probability of eventual Russian advancement into the Kanal district remains high, especially considering the destructive power of KAB bombs, which obliterate defenses and buildings, and the advantage in artillery, complicating the defense of the area.
— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) April 8, 2024
8/ Frontelligence Insight analyzed videos and satellite imagery to reconstruct the armored column's route. It traveled the dirt road to Chasiv Yar without encountering minefields, allowing them to enter the Kanal district without facing mines. It can indicate a major issue pic.twitter.com/SWyqZG2btv
— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) April 8, 2024
10/ In our assessment, the situation is difficult due to several issues: delays in fortification construction, and lack of personnel from delayed mobilization. There's an obvious shortage of supplies from the West, especially in ammo, artillery, and air defense systems
— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) April 8, 2024
12/ Meanwhile, the widening advantage of Russian forces over Ukrainian forces is expected to peak this year unless Ukraine and the West take emergency measures. Aid from North Korea, Iran, and China ensures Russia's capacity to sustain tactical advancements for a year or two.
— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) April 8, 2024
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