Russia and Ukraine flashpoint

[Ryuu96]

shavenferret said:

Bofferbrauer2 said:

shavenferret said:

As you can see, the price of oil was around $60 per barrel at the beginning of 2024, but now is at $81.5. This is about a 35% jump, and the gas prices and just about everything is going to get a lot more expensive very quickly with further attacks on oil infrastructure.  Basically, inflation correlates the most with oil and gas prices, so this is a direct Guage of consumer pain. 

And this is why Biden urges Ukraine not to attack Russian infrastructure. The high oil price tends to have big effect on the re-election chances of any incumbent president, so if it continues to rise, Biden fears he may lose to Trump just because of this.

The only thing that can stop Trump is fallout from his trials. And it would seem unwise to stop attacking in order to increase the chances of Biden winning when they need help now. 

Yeah, what if they stop attacking and Biden loses anyway?

Tbh I still think Biden wins, I believe women will come out strong against Republicans this election thanks to them attacking abortion, along with black voters likely largely going to Biden and Trump in 2024 is weaker than Trump in 2020, he is the incumbent who lost, a loser, there are silent Republicans who will still vote for him though because "Dems bad!" but I think Trump's fanbase is slowly shrinking to just the craziest of the bunch.

Democrats have also been overperforming in special elections, I think Dems take back House and control Presidency.