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As always, I will continue to support Ukraine for as long as they want to fight.
The only possible ways to guarantee Ukraine's security and safety after the war are either Ukraine defeating Russia on the battlefield, therefore putting them in a position where they physically are incapable of posing a threat to Ukraine anymore or if Ukraine surrenders territory to Russia it comes with an immediate ascension into NATO, I'm not talking a few years, I'm talking a few weeks at most.
Some shitty piece of paper with security guarantees is irrelevant, Ukraine already had that when they surrendered nukes. The USA, UK and Russia were meant to guarantee Ukraine's security and look where were at, some vague bullshit about us helping them if they're attacked isn't good enough, it needs to be in black and white that if Ukraine is attacked, we will put troops into Ukraine to defend them.
Otherwise, a territory concession is utterly stupid and has a proven history of not working, a pause benefits Russia to replenish their army, fix their command problems, bring in more ships to the Black Sea from their Northern Fleet and Baltic Fleet then go again, Odessa will be next, Khakrhiv will be next, Sumy will be next, Kyiv will be next.
It's also a bitter pill for Ukrainians to swallow as Zelenskyy said, how can he say to the parents that their children died for nothing when Ukraine says "keep the territory" and most Ukrainians want all their territory returned after the atrocities that Russia has committed and they don't want to abandon the Ukrainians still stuck in those territories to suffer further.
There would be a decent chance I would say of a military takeover if Zelenskyy tries to compromise with Russia to such a degree, riots in the streets of Kyiv, as happened to the last Ukrainian leader that was seen as too friendly to Russia, Zelenskyy's opinion polls were dropping pre-war partly because he was seen as too compromising to Russia as well and now the top person in opinion polls is Zaluzhnyi, a military officer.
As Dark says, dictators all over the world will come to the conclusion that starting a war is worth it, when the West's attitude becomes "oh things are too difficult for us, keep it so that we can have peace!" and abandon helping a country being invaded whilst the dictator slaughters all the citizens of said country, that's not peace, that's sticking your head in the sand as atrocities are committed.
I think France is sending arms to Armenia at least but if Russia wins in Ukraine then Azerbaijan vs Armenia will kick off because Azerbaijan will realise that nobody will come to Armenia's rescue. Moldova will be next because Russia will know that the West won't come to their rescue. Georgia will probably be next. Taiwan will be next.
The biggest risk to creating WW3 is letting imperialist take whatever they want, letting them grow more confident and arrogant, encouraging other countries to do the same, causing a chain reaction of countries being attacked, Russia must be defeated not only for Ukraine's security but for the security of countries across the world.
Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 25 March 2024
