Russia and Ukraine flashpoint

[SecondWar]

dark_gh0st_b0y said:

hellobion2 said:

Mabey this war will end next year hopefully with some treaty. Just it seems there both sides will have to give concessions.

Very unlikely... but it depends on what kind of concessions always... Any territory concession by Ukraine will only lead to more wars and international law violations around the world in the next few years, since dictators will conlude that initiating a war is totally worth it.

Turkey will simply attack Greece and Cyprus while Azerbaijan attacks Armenia, aiming to revive their former Ottoman Empire, just like Putin wants to regain USSR terrirory. China will attack Taiwan to regain their former borders, definitely expanded Middle East conflicts as well... and God knows who else will get a chance to attack who...

Maybe small-symbolic Russian bases in Crimea and Donbas in exchange for Ukraine in NATO, anything more than that will simply lead to WW3, slowly but surely.

Thank the Baltics, the EU and UK are well aware of the risks now, and are actively working to be able to support Ukraine and European security, hopefully before it's too late.

That one certainly won't happen as Greece is a Nato members. Yes, Turkey is as well which may complicate the situation but in such a scenario they likely would be expelled. Cyprus is more complicated but it feel more likely that the West would intervene is Cyprus was attacked now compared to when Turkey did attack in the 1970s.

Armenia/Azerbaijan could also happen any way as the location of those countries mean the West can't intervene anyway as they would be blocked off by either Turkey (Azerbaijan) or Russia (Armenia). There's been two wars between those countries in the last 30 or so years plus last year when Azerbaijan regained Nargno-Karabakh/Artsahk.

Taiwan though is much more of a risk though. I would also say Venezuela would be encouraged to attack Guyana.