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There are still negotiations for a ceasefire, but I give it about 0.1% chance of actually happening.

Hostage and ceasefire talks in Cairo enter critical 24-hour stretch

Hamas considers the next 24 hours of the ongoing hostage and ceasefire talks — underway in Cairo on Tuesday — as critical, a Hamas source has told CNN.

“The picture will become clearer within the next 24 hours,” a Hamas source told CNN. The person added: "There is clear and strong determination among the mediators to reach ceasefire understandings and begin an exchange process to release prisoners from both sides, and bring in food, supplies, medical and oil supplies.”

CIA Director Bill Burns and Mossad chief David Barnea are in Cairo on Tuesday to meet with Qatari and Egyptian officials to discuss a possible weeks-long ceasefire that would free the hostages still being held captive in Gaza.  A senior official familiar with the negotiations tells CNN that the talks are “nudging forward,” but emphasized that the parties are not yet quite “close” to a final agreement. The talks remain “difficult,” the official put it bluntly. While there has been some progress in recent days, the official said a deal is not yet imminent. 

What we know: A diplomat familiar with the talks said the current efforts centered around a six-week pause that includes guarantees that the negotiations will continue toward an eventual, permanent ceasefire. The diplomat said there was more work to be done and described the Cairo talks as critical in bridging remaining gaps between the parties.

An official with Hamas told CNN that representatives for the group are ready to return to Cairo if current talks progress further.


Without actual outside pressure, Netanyahu and his war cabinet are never going to agree to a ceasefire.