Could the Switch surpass the PS2 in sales?

[Shtinamin_]

Oneeee-Chan!!! said:

Shtinamin_ said:

Just looking at the past, we've seen Nintendo release console revisions once the successor releases.
Wii mini: Dec 2012, 1 month after WiiU released
SNES-101: Oct 1997,1 year after the N64 released
New Famicom: 1993, 3 years after the SNES released

So why can't we get a new revision for the Switch after the successor releases? Especially if they can produce a simpler revision with less components, like the idea of a Switch TV.

How much would you think they would sell it for?
It is about $257 to manufacture a Switch.

What? Is that the old switch model ?

Yes that was in reference to the Switch V1. And supposedly rumored to be ~$267 for the OLED but Nintendo refuted that.

Wman1996 said:

Tober said:

$257 to manufacture a Switch? That is more then I expected. There are also logistical cost to consider to get the console to retailers and obviously retailers would like a cut.

With this kind of manufacturing cost it's hard to believe Nintendo makes a profit on the console, but I always thought they did.

Given Nintendo operating profit of 30%+, I would estimate they make 10-20% profit on their consoles. On a Switch that would be between $30-60.

The $257 figure was from April 2017. Even with inflation, I'm struggling to comprehend that Switch is still $257 or so to make in 2024. If it is, no wonder Nintendo won't drop the price. 

With the latest shipment figures from Nintendo putting Switch at nearly 140 million shipped (a million or two above what I thought), Switch really has a good shot to surpass DS, and maybe PS2. We'll see.

Yes that is the April 2017 figure, no other website can given a recent manufacturing cost so I assume it still is near $257. They gained about $30 per Switch, and ~$80 per OLED, and had to be aggressive when finding people to produce material for the Lite.

My prediction for the holiday was 400k higher than the shipped total. So I feel pretty happy about that. By end of March Switch will have shipped 142.66M.

archbrix said:

The $257 build cost for Switch was reported back when it launched in 2017:

https://www.pcmag.com/news/nintendo-switch-build-cost-estimated-to-be-257

I mean, I wouldn't think it would still cost that much to make.

Well, during 2021 the price to manufacture actually increased, due to chip shortages, etc. So it may still be that close. But yes generally during the life of a console the manufacturing cost decreases.