Could the Switch surpass the PS2 in sales?

[Shtinamin_]

Hiku said:

archbrix said:

I mean, DS was going for about 10 years; three years past the launch of the 3DS.  Were there other products using its parts?  And Nintendo stands to make far more money keeping Switch around than DS from online subs alone.

There's no way that Nintendo can't maneuver around a $50 price drop for all Switch models this year.  That would put Switch Lite in impulse buy territory, Switch classic at $249 and the Switch OLED still a full $100 cheaper than what Switch 2 will likely be.

Price drops aren't common anymore and they certainly won't help a system that nobody wants to begin with, but for a hit gaming system like the Switch, particularly when it has never had even one official price reduction, there is significant value there once it's cheaper.  By the time Switch 2 arrives, I believe a price drop for the original is inevitable.

I wouldn't know if those parts were being used by other products at the time. If they weren't, it would cost them more than otherwise.
And from what I can see at least, the DS only had one official price drop in 2005? Nintendo DS - Wikipedia
6 years before the launch of the 3DS.

It's normal for a system to keep being manufactured some years after its replacement is launched. PS4's are still being sold.
With the exception of consoles that sold poorly to begin with.

But them getting price drops is not something I'd expect when the cost to manufacture them isn't neccesarily getting lower, but potentially even higher, especially since we are still dealing with a semi-conductor shortage (even though it's not nearly as bad as it was a few years ago).

Nintendo made a 10-year contract with Nvidia back in October 20th 2016. We are getting closer to that 10 year contract closing. 
We have also heard from Nvidia's president, Jen-Hsun Huan, that they expect a 20-year relationship with Nintendo due to the Switch being an "incredible game console".

Based on this I expect that the Switch will be in production until October 2026. And Nintendo will make another 10-year contract with Nvidia beforehand in order to ensure that the successor will have a well-stocked production and solid sale rate.

I expect the Switch to have a drop in price once the successor arrives, as Nintendo will be wanting to get Nintendo Switch units off the shelves as fast as possible to make room for "shelf space" (more accurately, warehouse space). I base this info from the Wii to WiiU. A month before the WiiU launched, the Wii received a price drop of ~13% from $149.99 (in Oct 2011) to $129.99 (Oct 2012). The Wii was originally $249.99 when it launched a received 3 price drops in America (2009, 2011, 2012). No country has seen a permanent price drop for the Nintendo Switch yet, so that makes be believe that Nintendo isn't ready to bring out their successor yet.

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Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr

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