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Zippy6 said:
DroidKnight said:

Exactly.  And not everyone is going to build a PC.  An unheard of amount of 1st party(console exclusives) games are about to be unleashed over the next 4 years to an extent I have never seen from the Xbox brand.  But to say it won't break 50 million or do as good as the Xbox One at this point of the life cycle requires a certain level of disbelief or unwillingness to apply some common sense. 

You really still think the Xbox Series is going to outsell the Xbox One, and further than that, that anyone thinking it won't lacks common sense?

I feel like you could have made a similar statement to this in 2022. "To say 2023 won't beat 2022 requires a certain level of disbelief or unwillingness to apply some common sense" due to 2022 having essentially zero game releases from Xbox and 2023 having what then appeared to be a very very strong line-up. The games came in 2023, the sales for Xbox consoles did not.

Xbox Series is behind the Xbox One launch aligned, the gap is widening fast as Xbox One sold far better in 2016 than Xbox Series has in 2023 and there are rumours the Xbox Series is being replaced sooner than initially expected. I think it's chance of reaching 57m sales is very remote.

Let's not forget their old internal forecasts only had the Series selling 59m by June 2027 and that was before the absolute trainwreck of a year 2023 has been for Xbox Hardware.

Releasing games does not guarantee hardware sales as 2023 has proven. They blew their non-existent 2022 line-up away and sold terribly.

I agree that Xbox Series will not be able to reach their forecast of 59M. But I think that games can sell hardware. We've seen it all the time with PS5 and Nintendo Switch. 
I personally think that Xbox Series X/S isn't getting the sales it deserves is cause of the lack of console dedicated exclusive games. Every game that releases on Xbox Series X/S is on the PC, effectively destroying their console base. Microsoft isn't worried about console sales (at least at the beginning of Xbox Series release) because they are focusing on their environment, the Game Pass and owning big game developer companies. They are investing in the long run (software & subscriptions) because they have an idea of what sells (whether thats true or not).



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.