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Tober on 20 December 2023
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Wman1996 said:

I'm pretty sure Xbox One and PS4 to Xbox Series X/S and PS5 have to be the most similar platform totals YTD of any generation to the next in history.
PS4 is barely above the PS5 YTD right now, and it's similar with Xbox One compared to the Series.
What could shake things up is the replacement year. 2013-2020 was the launch to replacement cycle of both the Xbox One and PS4. The strong rumors right now are that the Fifth Xbox will launch in 2026 and PS6 will launch in 2028 (maybe 2027 at the earliest).
So realistically, a 2026-2027 launch for the Fifth Xbox and a 2027-2028 launch for PS6.
With the current YTD figures in mind, a PS6 launch in 2028 would likely mean PS5 would outsell PS4. And even if the Xbox Series X/S isn't discontinued right away when replaced (like the Xbox One was), a 2026 launch for the Fifth Xbox would likely mean the Xbox Series X/S falls short of Xbox One lifetime totals.

I am very curious what the next generation will look like and how this would work with the companies strategies.

XBox wants gamepass on as many screens as possible. This would include non super powerful PC's, legacy consoles or something like smart TV's. Does XBox gaming really have an incentive to make games that need toplevel performance consoles?

Same reason for Games as a Service games. They need to be on as many screens as possible. Sony also wants to enter the GAAS market in a big way. Sure Sony also wants big narrative showstoppers, but those are really expensive and come out like perhaps once a year.

Indie games are doing really well and get better and better, and those will definitely not need a toplevel performance console.

We could be in a situation that the next level consoles will be more about lowering cost/price then going for a big jump in performance.