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Putin is still a long way from conquering the Ukrainian regions Russia has claimed—let alone from achieving his bigger goal of subjugating Ukraine, whose existence as an independent nation-state he has called a historical anomaly.

"The material advantages in 2024 are principally on Russia's side, but they don't appear decisive enough that Russia will be able to achieve its political aims," said Michael Kofman, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a Washington, D.C.-based think tank.

"It's inaccurate to suggest that Russia is winning the war," Kofman said. "However, if the right choices are not made next year on Ukraine's approach and Western resourcing, then Ukraine's prospects for success look dim."

Putin Has Staked Russia’s Resources on Victory in Ukraine. Can the West Match Him?   - WSJ

Europe banned most oil shipments from Russia almost a year ago, but it's binging on diesel that may well have been made from Russian crude.

Europe Is Guzzling Diesel From India, a Key Buyer of Russian Oil - Bloomberg

U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs James O'Brien has said a report by Bild tabloid suggesting that Washington and Berlin aim to push Ukraine into talks with Russia is untrue, Reuters reported on Nov. 27.

The German federal government also denied the claims made in Bild's report, saying that Berlin "firmly stands by Ukraine."

Germany and the US Squash Rumours That They Want to Force Ukraine to Negotiate / The New Voice of Ukraine

According to soldier reports from both sides of the fighting, modern Western equipment operated by the Ukrainian military is limited in effectiveness due to near-total Russian air superiority over the battlefield, and ongoing shortages of 155mm howitzer ammunition.

Russia Captures Fortified Factory District in Avdiivka, Ukrainian Troops Reportedly Outgunned

"Don't tell me that you can't afford to mobilize your industry and will so that Ukraine wins." Retired British general Sir Richard Barrons addressed European officials and opinion leaders at a forum in Lucerne, Switzerland.

“You imagine an economy of 15 trillion euros a year. Give me 75 billion euros a year for 2-3 years, and I will make sure that the Ukrainian army wins. It’s not about whether it’s affordable. It’s about choice, about competence ", - he said.

Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 28 November 2023