Switch looking like it will probably only hit like 4.2m at best at this point, or more likely 4.1m.
Dreams of 4.4 or 4.3 are gone at this point. Next week is the first holiday week this year so should see big increases in all systems for rest of the year. Switch needs to average 130k/week for the five holiday weeks to hit 4.2m. Seems doable. Last year it averaged 160k/week for those weeks so 130k/week this year feels about right, though it definitely could come in under that and only do 4.1m, and not having a major holiday game launching in Nov/Dec will hurt hardware sales this holiday so 4.1m is probably the most likely. Nintendo really should have planned one more big game after Mario Wonder to release directly during the holidays. Still, even though it's gonna be lower than it looked like it would be as of a couple months ago, 4.1/4.2m in year 7 in Japan is unbelievable!
Wow Super Mario RPG did amazing! 300k for physical only in Japan opening week for SMRPG! Wow. I don't know what I was expecting but that's probably about double what I would have guessed it would do. Don't know how the interest will be split between Japan and rest of the world, but you gotta figure it did easily over 1 million globally this first week which is quite impressive.
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