Jak obiecałem, tak piszę. Wrażenia z ponad tygodniowego pobytu na Ukrainie. Szczegółów operacyjnych nie będzie, ale wiedzcie proszę, że spotkaliśmy się z analitykami, dowódcami pododdziałów. Wyjazd był bardzo produktywny. pic.twitter.com/ZGsbVeRtBt
— Konrad Muzyka - Rochan Consulting (@konrad_muzyka) November 16, 2023
This thread from Konrad touches on it too.
Ukraine receives less ammunition than in the summer, which affects the intensity of artillery fire. Ammunition also arrives in Ukraine irregularly, which makes planning operations difficult.
Therefore, I expect that Kyiv will slowly move to the defensive and focus on expanding its fortification systems. This will allow for a reduction in the forces involved in maintaining the front and for the gradual rebuilding of forces and training of units that have so far taken part in the fighting.
It seems that 2024 will be a difficult year for Ukraine. There is no equipment in the West, probably no ammunition either. Some of the holes will be patched by drones (hundreds of thousands produced annually from 2024).
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That aside, there hasn't been much activity lately, aside from Russia continuing to send hundreds to their deaths in Avdiivka.
Something amusing though, Girkin made an appearance again.
Terrorist Girkin-Strelkov has declared he will be running for president in Russian 2024 elections.
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) November 18, 2023
He has announced this in a letter from prison.
Window, tea, heart attack - what will his fate be? https://t.co/28q5q14Eda pic.twitter.com/hM5x0bwhIq