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Do you think MS have kept 1-2 surprises announcement for TGA.
So far there's 5 game announced for 2024 Hellblade 2, Avowed, Towerborn, Ara History Untold and Flight Sim 2024.

For me only 2 of them (Hellblade 2 and Avowed) definitely fit the blockbuster/highly anticipated (3 with CoD) Titles that can fulfill Spencer vision of 1 such title/quarter.

Ara and Towerborne looks nice but a tad too niche to have blockbuster aspiration and Flight Sim, while a great experience, is debatably not really a game (it might still be considered as such by MS, especially if they don't have other such titles ready, but it's a stretch)

Given Xbox confidence I think MS may have kept 1-2 surprise, release in 2024, announcements for TGA. Also, as i'm sure Xbox is fully aware, now more then ever they need presence whenever possible and not let go of any opportunity to be talked about.

I'm thinking a gears of War related announcement might be likely.